• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 2258

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Sat Dec 13 15:44:21 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 131544
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 131543=20
    INZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-131945-

    Mesoscale Discussion 2258
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0943 AM CST Sat Dec 13 2025

    Areas affected...far southeast IA...central IL...amd west-central IN

    Concerning...Heavy snow=20

    Valid 131543Z - 131945Z

    SUMMARY...A band of moderate to heavy snow with bursts of rates
    around 1 inch per hour expected through around 20Z.

    DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar data and surface observations
    depict a swath of moderate to locally heavy snow spreading eastward
    across eastern IA, central IL, and western IN. As strengthening DCVA
    preceding an embedded midlevel perturbation (evident in water-vapor
    imagery) continues spreading eastward into IL over the next couple
    hours, an uptick in the coverage of heavy snowfall rates can be
    expected. This increase should generally focus in an east/west
    corridor extending from southeast IA across central IL into
    west-central IN through around 20Z -- when the aforementioned lift
    overspreads a cold, deeply saturated profile with a favorable
    isothermal layer below 700 mb for aggregation. Snowfall rates of
    around 1 inch per hour are expected beneath the core of the heaviest
    banding, with bursts of locally higher rates possible.

    ..Weinman.. 12/13/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!7tcTNDzZ9zGCMbRDc_lEO3PXwUik11JltEQhJYxwv4JjseOI442hGyhwRK3gZlmjSzzQodyC2= IFtBq1wd3X29rQcNoY$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...IWX...IND...LOT...ILX...DVN...

    LAT...LON 39398761 39728927 40099058 40519152 40969185 41349183
    41669154 41669096 41338964 40968807 40738664 40418605
    39778602 39338653 39398761=20


    =3D =3D =3D
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