• MESO: Mesoscale Discussion 1268

    From COD Weather Processor@1:2320/105 to wx-storm@lists.illinois.edu on Fri Jun 13 00:51:28 2025
    ACUS11 KWNS 130050
    SWOMCD
    SPC MCD 130050=20
    MNZ000-130215-

    Mesoscale Discussion 1268
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0750 PM CDT Thu Jun 12 2025

    Areas affected...Parts of south-central MN

    Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely=20

    Valid 130050Z - 130215Z

    Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

    SUMMARY...A threat for localized severe/damaging wind and marginal
    hail remains possible this evening.

    DISCUSSION...An elevated supercell has evolved into a small linear
    segment across parts of south-central MN. Despite its clearly
    elevated nature, this storm produced a 75 kt gust in Hutchinson, MN,
    along with reports of substantial wind damage. The longevity of the
    severe threat with this small line segment is uncertain, given
    decreasing MUCAPE downstream. However, given its current severe
    intensity, some threat could reach at least western portions of the
    Twin Cities area.=20

    Another small elevated supercell is ongoing upstream across
    southwest MN. Whether or not this cell undergoes a similar evolution
    as the lead cell is highly uncertain, but some threat for isolated
    hail and damaging wind could accompany this storm as well as it
    moves east-southeastward this evening.

    ..Dean/Smith.. 06/13/2025

    ...Please see https://urldefense.com/v3/__http://www.spc.noaa.gov__;!!DZ3fj= g!5gQzfE6hcISBZDhzr0bfiRfyWXXQRio0Sm9_X8i7KlCqsPY158AhUv-5n6RKFCeSfGD8Xf1QK= xZNtj17z5xXI2CDsfc$ for graphic product...

    ATTN...WFO...MPX...

    LAT...LON 45339547 45269377 45189309 44649324 44379342 44459476
    44649530 45019558 45339547=20

    MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
    MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


    =3D =3D =3D
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